5 min read. With that, multiple analysts within The Athletes Hub have sat down and explained their personal opinions on what could take place. Can the Los Angeles Angels avoid bad fortune? The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. PECOTA projects both the Twins and Guardians for 88 wins, with the White Sox at 78. Put yourself out there. The Jays were 91-71 last season and I believe they are better. Read more . The key tothe Giants'success in 2021 was a standout rotation. ZiPS has it as a much closer race, projecting the Yankees for 89 wins and the Blue Jays for 88. While the MLB season is still a few months away, there has been plenty of excitement to what the new campaign could bring. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. But even with Seager gone, Turner shifted from second to shortstop and Gavin Lux and Chris Taylor will occupy second base. From there, the model simulates the postseason based on the outcomes of the regular season to decide who will win the World Series. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series. Are the Braves even with the Mets, or way behind? Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. Joey Gallo should improve without the shift, and Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Josh Donaldson make for three of the best right-handed power bats in the sport when healthy. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. ET (ESPN). Factoring in that advantage along with an electrifying Cardinals bullpen, elite defense and a sufficient lineup, we expect St. Louis in a Wild Card Game. Toronto Blue Jays. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. Framber Valdez and Luis Garcia are two bright young arms in the rotation, while Verlander looks to return to his Cy Young-winning ways since coming back from Tommy John surgery. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers However, the starting rotation just doesnt seem good enough in a long season. Read on for predictions for every game involving a Top 25 team on the schedule over the next seven days. Until those issues are addressed, even a .500 record feels unlikely. The Phillies enter the season probably, objectively, a worse team than both the Braves and Mets in the NL East. But we're making a call to the bullpen and asking five MLB.com writers to give it their best shot. However, its outfield will be problematic and the starting rotation is even worse. There was a point in the 2021 season when it felt the Mets were going to run away with the division. 5 starter. Justin Verlander's return is hugefor the Astros, coming off their third World Series appearance in five years. Thats enough to push them ahead of New York in our MLB predictions. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. Pollock is a net win, given Chicagos needs, but the Garrett Crochet injury (Tommy John surgery) is a huge blow. 4. KC Kansas City Royals. Let's start things off with a prediction about one of my favorite players to target in fantasy baseball drafts. Everyone should. But it's easy to see them beat those projections. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? The Diamondbacksfinished tied with Baltimore for the worst record in baseball in 2021, but like the Orioles, they are starting to see the future of the franchise. Whenthe Padresmade the playoffs in the abbreviated 2020 season, many expected they'd take that next step in 2021 and be a true World Series contender. Although Jos Abreu left as a free agent to sign with the Astros in the offseason, the core of the roster that won the division title two years ago is still largely intact, making Chicago an obvious rebound candidate in 2023. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. The retirement of Buster Posey will usher in the Joey Bart era behind the plate. However, there is room for improvement in the outfield and wed really want to see a No. MORE:Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. This should be very difficult, as every team -- at least in theory -- should have a total right around where it is expected to finish. So without further ado, we present to you seven bold predictions for the 2022 MLB season. They'll have thump. Were using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. The Rangerswere the talk of the offseason before the lockout when they made two major splashy signings in bringing in Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to produce maybe the best middle-infield combination in baseball. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. MLB.com. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. It makes them the team to beat in the NL Central, especially if Christian Yelich rebounds and Kolten Wong stays healthy. With considerable improvement expected from Ronald Acua Jr. and Ozzie Albies, ZiPS thinks Atlanta is in good shape, projecting the club for another tie with the Mets at 94 wins apiece. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. However, this is still a loaded team. After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. We just saw that I like the Blue Jays for around 95 wins. 2022 Year to Date: 2023 Projected Rest of Season: 2023 Projected Full Season: Team G . The Marinerswere the feel-good story of 2021, when out of nowhere, they rose up to post a 90-win season and nearly reach the postseason. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. Support FanGraphs. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. ET. I'm not a Phillies fan. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. Sticky standings Sticky standings. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. They will join Joe Musgrove, Yu Darvish and Blake Snell. Three got there in both 2018 and 2017. As for the Rays, the Wander Franco hype is real. The Braves, on the other hand, werent a major player in free agency. The model's concerns for Seattle stem from its uncertain pitching depth beyond Ray and Marco Gonzales and the risk of an underperforming infield, but make no mistake, the future is bright in Seattle. There is going to be some competition in Texas soon enough for the AL West crown. MLB is back, but will fans be after ugly offseason? It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. A young Tigers team will take another step forward . The Line: Man City -240 / Newcastle United +550 // Total: 2.5. section: | slug: mlb-win-totals-each-teams-2022-projection-plus-best-bets-on-over-unders-for-dodgers-cardinals-more | sport: baseball | route: article_single.us | The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. The biggest question mark for Los Angeles is undoubtedly in its rotation, where Walker Buehler will be the unquestioned ace after Scherzer left. Today's MLB slate is very busy, and the first game is at 3:10 pm ET. The Rockieswere surprisingly the top suitor for Kris Bryant, signing him to a seven-year, $182 million contract Has a team ever lost 110 games as quietly as the Diamondbacks last year? 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. Scorched. The rotation is still thin and the bullpen is a mess, so they will fall short of being swept in the 2022 MLB postseason. Here are the way too early MLB 2022 standings predictions for the American League. Again, I don't think they'll be good, overall, but I have a buffer of 92 losses here, as 70-92 gets the job done. The Red Soxsurprised some people with their run to the ALCS in 2021, and Boston expects to be back in the mix for the playoffs again in 2022. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. Instead, they missed the playoffs. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. ZiPS projects both the Mariners and Angels for 85 wins, putting the two clubs in a tie for the third AL Wild Card spot behind the Blue Jays and Rays. Design and development by Jay Boice. The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. 2023 projected standings for major league baseball teams. I took the Rays' under (it was 86) last year and got badly burned. Ryan Fagan ( @RyanFagan ) A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. With Chris Bassitt, Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer lined up . Last Year's Record: 91-71 Over/Under: 92.5 The Blue Jays were just one game shy of making the postseason last year in a division that featured four teams winning more than 90 games. Fernando Tatis Jr. is one of the brightest stars when he's healthy and Manny Machado gives him powerful protection in the lineup. And I'd win the under. CLE Cleveland Guardians. The lineup dips after Jose Ramirez, and even with the powerful bat of Franmil Reyes, Cleveland lacks true support for its star third baseman. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. The Tigersare in a position where it feels like they are on the verge of putting it all together at the big-league level. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. 400. The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. Wed be even higher on this team because of its exciting rotation, if not for the fact Phillys defense is the worst in baseball. And with Michael Kopech and Liam Hendriks at the backend of the bullpen, they could be a real weapon to end games in the playoffs. The Phillies Will Need The Long Ball For A Long Shot World Series Comeback . The front end of the rotation offers some star arms in Nathan Eovaldi, Chris Sale and Tanner Houck, who can match up with many of the best in the AL. The Sporting News' model sees the Blue Jays as a slim favorite to win the division over the Yankees, Rays and Red Sox, but it expects all four teams to reach the playoffs. But how does the model see it shaking out? 1. Tampa Bay Rays 98-64 2. Even after losing Carlos Rodon, the rotation is still be one of the game's best with Lucas Giolito, Lance Lynn and Dylan Cease at the front. The Chicago White Sox can start looking at designs for their 2022 AL Central champions shirts and hats. Bellinger is coming off of a dreadful 2021 campaign that saw . With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . From back-to-back division champions to the cellar, the Twins'tumble in 2021 came as a shock after looking like a dominant team in each of the prior two years. The AL playoff picture will likely not come as a surprise. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. It's a good, though not great, mix of position players. If there werent enough concerns, early IL stints for Evan Longoria and Lamonte Wade Jr. heighten worries with the Giants lineup and its diminishing depthj. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. I like the Dodgers to keep MLB's 100 . The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. Something is going to give there -- in terms of sending one team down to the mid-80s in wins, this time around -- and the Red Sox total is 85.5. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. mlb preview 2022. I don't know why, though. . If it's the 2022-23 Premier League table you're after, you've come to the right place. A starting rotation with two Cy Young candidates (Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff), an All-Star No. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. Jesse Yomtov. Edward Sutelan is a content producer at The Sporting News. Julio Rodriguez, who earned a spot on the MLB roster, can win Rookie of the year and make a significant 2022 impact. All rights reserved. No one saw the San Francisco Giants being that good last season, they surpassed their wildest expectations. Thats everything the Milwaukee Brewers already bring to the table. The Raysare that team that is constantly underloved by metrics and subsequently overperforms. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. Just when everyone thoughtthe Rockiesmight be headed toward a rebuild, they go out and make a big splash by signing Kris Bryant. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. It's fun when you hit it and you get to show you're mature enough to be accountable and use self-deprecating humor when you lose badly. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. SEA . They also signed Jon Gray, who could be due for a breakout season now that he's no longer pitching in Coors Field. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? Were seeing the Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics head in opposite directions. The Fernando Tats Jr. injury creates a bigger separation from the Dodgers in the projected MLB standings, but hell be back by July. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. There were three last season. Texans spent heavily on Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, adding two All-Star hitters to the lineup. . Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening . First off, the Dodgers are the best team. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. Andrew Benintendi showed some bounceback potential in 2021, and Adalberto Mondesi still looks explosive when healthy. ET, with the prelims on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. 2 starter acquired before being more optimistic with our MLB predictions. Trevor Rogers nearly won Rookie of the Year, and Sandy Alcantara and Pablo Lopez each had ERAs south of 3.20. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? It's Cleveland vs. Minnesota for the AL Central title. The model likes the Dodgers to win the pennant and finish with the best record in baseball, while the Giants are the second-most likely team to win the pennant, barely edging out the Braves, who are likely to earn the second bye by virtue of winning their division with the second-best record among division winners. In a women's flyweight championship bout on the main card, Valentina Shevchenko takes on Alexa Grasso Saturday at UFC 285 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Was Steven Matz's 2021 season a real change or is he more the guy who was well below average from 2017-20? Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. The one thing missing is another quality outfielder to fill out the lineup. Below are the picks and predictions made by The Sporting News' model for how the 2022 MLB season is . All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. After all, the Friars signed Xander Bogaerts, will be getting back Fernando Tatis Jr. from injury/suspension and will benefit from having Juan Soto and Josh Hader for a full season after acquiring both at the 2022 Trade Deadline. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22 offseason featured a 99-day lockout that . There just isnt enough talent around Reyes and Ramirez to make this a playoff-caliber lineup and that will prove costly over a full season. They're expected to have the league's highest payroll in 2023, but it won't be enough. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. If that happens, Tampa Bay is in business. The biggest thing we like about the Rays is their wealth of pitching, a crucial factor in a season where arms will be tested more than ever. Maybe. October 6th, 2022. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. Calling up Gabriel Arias could help with that. Before long, Hayes will soon be joined on the left side of the infield by towering shortstop Oneil Cruz. It's a win-win, really. Robert Edwards-USA TODAY Sports. We saw the Houston Astros add another division title to their collection last season despite the surprise surge from the Seattle Mariners. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. It should be a fourth consecutive last-place season for the Pirates, who hope Ke'Bryan Hayes bounces back and prospectOneil Cruz brings some excitement. Tyler Stephenson finishes with 20+ home runs, 80+ runs, and 80+ RBIs. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. Most of all, the Rockies will continue to flex their muscles in Coors Field, where they were 48-33 last season. You can do it! Fans of the Yankeesare disappointed that New York wasn't able to land any major name in free agency, but that doesn't stop the model from being bullish on the Bronx Bombers' chances to make the playoffs. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? We felt great about New Yorks rotation trio and even liked some of the depth behind it. The Guardians did virtually nothing this winter, yet it wouldn't be shocking to see them finish second or third. The winter meetings are quickly approaching and before you know it will be time for Spring Training. They could match that in 2022. Trained by Michael McCarthy, Lugan Knight has two wins, one second and . PECOTA views the Bronx Bombers as heavy favorites in the AL East, with Toronto projected for roughly nine fewer wins. 1 overall spot in the AL. 6-keys: media/spln/mlb/reg/free/stories, at The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. TheBrewers Way? Case in point, Jon Lester had a 4.36 ERA compared to a 5.40 FIP in 12 starts last season after they acquired him and he's now retired. The breakout season by the Giants mixed up the run of Dodgers' dominance, but the model expects Los Angeles to reclaim its crown in 2022. USA TODAY. One of the more remarkable tidbits about last season was the Dodgers' total being 103.5, them hitting the over with room to spare and still not winning the NL West. We also like the depth pieces added to the staff (Carlos Martinez, Matt Boyd) and it will prove crucial this year. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Major League Leaders . It was only the Cubs in 2016 and Cardinals in 2015, but the point stands. 9:55 am ET, MLB rumors: Dodgers, Yankees seek depth after injuries, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to miss WBC with knee injury, Kik Hernndez recounts on-field bathroom accident, Phillies top prospect Andrew Painter has tender elbow, Max Scherzer fools hitter with new pitch clock rules, Report: Padres looking to extend Juan Soto, Josh Hader, MLB win totals for every team, best bets on over-unders, Phillies top prospect Painter has elbow tenderness, Report: Padres looking to extend Soto, Hader, Report: Mets to use six-man rotation at times in 2023, Dodgers SS Gavin Lux tears ACL, will miss entire season. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. while Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez bring the kind of veteran bats any team needs when it wants to make a leap in the . Christian Yelich can only get better after . All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location,