Many historical player head shots courtesy of David Davis. Minnesotas Max Meyer and Texas A&Ms Asa Lacy both finished in the top five in the nation in strikeouts and then were also selected in the top five picks. In his free time, he writes for The Hardball Times, speaks about baseball research and analytics, has consulted for a Major League Baseball team, and has appeared on MLB Network's Clubhouse Confidential as well as several MLB-produced documentaries. Past that, if youre a person who DOES want to just play the conversion game straight up and then treat his pre-age-27 accomplishments as equivalent for HOF purposes, I believe a statement that him earning 20 WAR would be a conservative estimate is belied by how few first baseman have done that. RP Joe Mantiply, ARI (2.5 BB%) Devin Wiles. Some of the tweets read as follows: Cole has had some fantastic seasons in the past, coming in second place in the voting for the AL Cy Young Award twice and leading MLB in strikeouts both times. Ichiro has a good case as one of the greatest baseball players of all time. Its possible; different careers have different arcs. ), without the adjustment period from the Cuban leagues. Im just saying that projecting 20 WAR in this make-believe world is not conservative at all. Click here to get started. Alexei Ramirez low-900s age 22-24 in Cuba, .792 first year, .700 overall in MLB. Early returns are good, as he struck out 26 in 19.1 innings as a freshman in 2020. At the plate, Rutschmans batting eye is extremely sharp, as evidenced by his 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout rate. Part of the Baseball Almanac Family, Current Through End of 2023 Regular Season. Id love for the completely unknowable downvoter to explain why they disagree with Dan Szymborkski, and instead think that because answering a question is difficult, we shouldnt try to answer it at all. He did benefit a bit from the sharp decline in strikeout rates that started in 1969, but even still amassing 18 such seasons is an impressive feat. In the wake of those deals, fans have started to wonder which starting pitcher will own the 2023 season. For more context, since 2006, he ranks 50th in WAR for ages 32-38. update=copyright.getFullYear(); Unfortunately, his performance in 2022 doesnt leave much room for optimism. Camels take series over Louisiana. March 1, 2023. The Astros first baseman hit 194 fly balls and only managed a hit on 26 of them. Its most certainly conjecture, but its not beyond the realm of possibility, and to say he has no case goes too far, imo. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, From #16-26 is, McGriff, McCovey, Votto, Julio Franco, Banks, Guerriel, Al Oliver, Giambi, Felipe Alou, Helton, and Konerko. I also suggested that, due to what we know about aging curves, his best years mightve been mostly behind him when he arrived. So how did Gurriel get to this point? His case wouldnt be about being a trailblazer.. Cespedes was put up about a 1.050 OPS from ages 22-24 in Cuba then .861 in his first year in MLB and .824 overall. As it stands, he came in second place for the AL MVP and fourth for the AL Cy Young Award. ZIPS also is far less generous in its translations than Davenport is. Na attracted some interest from MLB teams after the 2020 season, but was unable to find a contract to his liking and returned to the KBO. How about pitchers from you favorite team have they ever led the league in strikeouts? Scores from any date in Major League history, Minor, Foreign, College, & Black Baseball, Frequently Asked Questions about MLB and Baseball, Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE. by Retrosheet. Torra quickly established himself as a dominant force after transferring from junior college. WebTriples When a batter reaches on a hit and stops at third base or only advances farther than third base on an error or a fielder's attempt to put out another baserunner. March 1, 2023. Some high school data is courtesy David McWater. He is a natural athlete, but doesnt have the elite instincts needed to play a high-end center field and profiles better in a corner spot long-term. To make matters worse, Gurriels problems at the plate were exacerbated by bad plate discipline. Story Links. The bats came alive and the pitching was stout on another clear and sunny day in the Kansas City area, as the Northwestern College baseball team (2-6, 0-0 GPAC) swept the day to conclude the 2023 Rube Foster Classic with two wins over Kansas Christian and Park (Mo.). Its not too late to win your mothers love. Its the Roy Campanella/Monte Irvin argument. This proved to be a wise business move, as the New York Yankees later signed him to a six-year, $162 million contract. Copyright 1999- PHI. As for Abreu, the 20 WAR from ages 21-26 would pretty much just be him playing at his age 28-35 (so excluding his big rookie year) level. I wish there were a member benefit that let you ignore morons like you. At the plate, Rutschmans batting eye is extremely sharp, as evidenced by his 13.8% walk rate and 18.3% strikeout rate. I clicked on this because I was wondering what on earth Gurriel could do that would stimulate this much conversation, and it turns out my skepticism is well founded. Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. Presumably, Solano took the roster spot and the salary that might have otherwise gone to Gurriel. We break down the top 25 candidates. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Beyond the MLB players and potential future stars, Team Korea has some veteran players rounding out the lineup from the KBO. In 2022, he was still good at the things he did well, but he was worse than ever at what he already did poorly. BA Newsletter: Get Analysis, Rankings Delivered To Your Inbox! Just for reference, there are 27 post-1947 1B who had at least 40 fWAR through age 32 (which is the early career production Guerriel would have needed to reach 50 career WAR). In other words, he was making more contact on less hittable pitches. The fact is he came to the US and performed as a thoroughly average player, with stints of being above and well below average in between. The first is Jung-hoo Lee, a 24-year-old outfielder for the Kiwoom Heroes. I agree that theres no HoF case here, but I think there may well have been had he played in MLB from an early age (with access to the requisite training etc. Was he hurt by the shortened season or helped by it? Do you have a blog? Who will be 2021s strikeout king? To me he has a HoF case because he was stuck in Cuba during his best years when he was one of the best players in the world. Oh, taking the piss out of jackasses who seem genuinely incapable of engaging with information that doesnt align with their pre-existing assumptions is how I destress! Im sorry that online and presumably in real life people tend to just walk away from conversations with you; maybe you should look inward? Hurter missed part of the 2019 season and all of the 2020 season due to injury. He came back down to earth a bit subsequently, but with what we know about hitters aging curves peaking at 25-26, he mightve missed out on 2 or more comparable-or-better years. We break down the top 25 candidates. 12 UCLA past Sacramento State, 3-2, on Saturday afternoon at Jackie Robinson Stadium as part of the 2023 Southern California College Baseball Classic. He missed the first couple of months of the season with a toe injury, and also missed a month and a half with a hamstring injury. Clemson snapped its four-game losing streak with a win Friday against previously undefeated South Carolina. Did you know that eight of the top ten single season strikeout records all occurred during the nineteen century? He was starting to put things together in 2019 with 58 strikeouts in 48.1 innings when he went down with injury, and hell look to pick that up in 2021. In his rookie season Kang set his career highs in home runs (29) and strikeouts (124), but since then has traded some home run power for more contact and gap power. He only has 1 season over 5 fWAR and unlike Gurriel he played his traditional peak years in MLB. Overall Batting Stats; Index Team AVG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB SLG% BB HBP SO GDP OB% SF SH SB-ATT PO A E FLD% Texas Tech.333: 11: 375: 123: 125: 33: 6: 16: 118: 218 Game Team High Strikeouts; Strikeouts Total; Oklahoma State vs LMU (2/25/2023) 16: Last season Lee did his best Tony Gwynn impression, posting a tiny 5% strikeout rate with an 11% walk rate. Its not far-fetched to imagine him coming up at 20 and putting up over 25 WAR before his MLB career actually began. As it stands now, no way, but, the dicussion is interesting. His Davenport translations were eye-popping for about his last 4 years there. Note: A bold faced entry denotes that the player was active during the previous Major League season. Jacob DeGrom will pitch for Texas on opening day, donning a different uniform than that of the Mets for the first time in the majors. Right now, there are a grand total of six qualified hitters who also have a higher walk than strikeout rate: I wondered how rare a feat this is, even given the increase in the three true outcomes. Turns out, its exceedingly rare. Not to agree or disagree with your conclusions overall, but there is some evidence that Abreus time in Cuba was HOF worthy. McCullers stepped into the role of staff ace for Houston in 2021, going 13-5 with a 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 185 strikeouts over a career-high 162.1 innings. But its hard to make that argument because Abreu wasnt exactly a trailblazer. The argument for trying to count these numbers is that Cuban players were prevented from playing MLB for reasons beyond their control. Gurriel has had an excellent big league career, and one that could have been all the more impressive had he made his way to the majors sooner. Kang also dealt with some adversity in the KBO for the first time last year. Thats exactly what happened to Gurriel, who had a .317 wOBA on balls put in play from inside the zone and a .250 wOBA on balls put in play from outside the strike zone. WebCaden McKinion College Leagues Statistics including batting, fielding, prospect rankings and more on Baseball-Reference.com , 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting , 2022 MLB Pitching, Career WAR Leaders, Single-Season Home Run Leaders, Active Strikeout Leaders, Upcoming Player Milestones, MLB Scores. The only HOFer I saw that was behind him was Orlando Cepeda. Because you got me looking at it, if you order their seasons by wRC+ over 130 (ignoring their 2020 MVP years) between Abreu and Freeman it goes. SF. You post again and again, with zero support, and somehow believe youre the bees knees. The Tigers have seven players batting .300 or better and four players batting .400 or better, including leadoff hitter Gavin Dugan (.478), No. MacLeod broke out in a big way in 2020, stepping up into the Mississippi State rotation and answering the bell to the tune of 35 strikeouts in 21 innings of work. Home His first chance to test himself will be against Team Japan in pool play, with Japan having one of the deepest pitching staffs in the tournament. If you use Abreus own, it comes to a 1.029 OPS, over those 5 years. Bill leads Predictive Modeling and Data Science consulting at Gallup. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. 169 72 66 16 46 247. In order to access this exclusive content you must have a Baseball America Account. Logos were compiled by the amazing SportsLogos.net. Kang is very much a bat-first player who has adjusted his approach during his time in the KBO. Web[8] Active pitchers with 1,700 strikeouts (stats updated through 2022): Gerrit Cole (1,930) - 257 in 2022 Johnny Cueto (1,812) - 102 in 2022 Yu Darvish (1,788) - 197 in 2022 Anbal The Pitching Staff Starting Rotation SP Corey Kluber, TBR (3.0 BB%) William Gregory Corey Kluber isnt purely Klubot anymore. Z. Wheeler 32 14 10 .583 3 2 20 213.1. Large caveats obviously apply, but there is at least a reason to think he had a good HOF case. However, if we look at those hitters with the most seasons of BB% > K% we do manage to find decent representation from a number of eras: I knew Yastrzemski was good, but I never would have guessed that he would have the most seasons with a higher walk than strikeout rate. It will also help his chances to top the strikeout leaderboard that he plays conference games in the Patriot League, where hell overmatch hitters, much like Noah Song two years ago. Citing a player who peaked from 26-32 is such a hilariously poor response to the premise that Abreu may have come over after his prime that I honestly have to wonder whether you even read the initial comment, haha. The current criteria dont value that though. Its easy to point to Gurriels 2021 season and identify the 38-year-old as a prime bounce-back candidate. Lee will be hoping to use the WBC as a chance to showcase his hitting skills against elite pitchers, as he is expected to be posted by Kiwoom after the 2023 season. He could have 10, 15, 25. KANSAS CITY, Mo. We have tools and resources that can help you use sports data. It's a need that must serve the situation for fans; as long as their teams and ball players are seeded well in any competitive standings, everything feels right; as soon as it goes the other way, they start having trouble with the list and the choices made. In 1929, 80% of all qualified hitters had higher walk rates. If Wright managed to continue this trend through the end of the season it would be the first time in his career he achieved such a feat. How many MLB caliber pitchers did he face or was he teeing off on A Ball level guys? If there were some World Baseball Hall of Fame, hed also have a very good case. Shippensburg (9-4) notched 12 hits across two games while the Raider pitching staff totaled 16 strikeouts and just three walks. Dudes improvement in his late 20s is truly incredible. However, it pales in comparison to the 10%+ rise in strikeouts per plate appearance since 1920. Give him 4-5 more years from age 21-26 & yeah, I can see it..IF he had played in MLB. And if he actually looked like a hall of famer while in the U.S. compared to other players his same age, this would be a compelling last hurdle or feather in cap to put him over the top. He is also the creator of the baseballr package for the R programming language. Dan Szymborski does a nice job assessing both Gurriels and Abreus HOF cases in this article. Gurriels Baseball Savant page provides a good preliminary explanation of what went wrong. The question kind of becomes why Abreu never got close to his 2014 production (outside of 2020) again. Do some soul searching on why you continue to be so insufferable? Last season, he struck out 39 and allowed just one earned run in 25.1 innings. I should add that the only reason he ranks just behind McGriff is because McGriffs age 27 season was in 1991 so wasnt captured here. The KBO is not a league known for having elite defense. He wasnt hitting the ball as hard as he used to, so he wasnt getting as many hits. You know who does? Note: A bold faced entry denotes that the player was active during the previous Major League season. Baseball UT Arlington Stats Baseball vs UT Arlington March 7, 2023 6 p.m. Fri, Mar 10 6:30 p.m. Its a disappointing outcome for a player just one year removed from winning the AL batting title and putting up a career-best 132 wRC+. On groundballs and line drives, his average EV and HardHit% were both close to his career averages. All rights reserved. WebCheck out the Spring 2023 Mississippi Boys Baseball Batters Struck Out stat leaders, including stats for Batters Faced, Innings Pitched Decimal, and Games Played. Or because juicing Matsuis NPB stats to match the delta that Abreu saw moving from the CNS would still leave his 19-28 numbers drastically worse than Abreus? Gerrit Cole leads the list, with Corbin Burnes, Jacob DeGrom, and Carlos Rodon closely following the Yankees ace. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Park signed a four-year deal with the Minnesota Twins before 2016, but struggled in his limited MLB opportunities. He is hurt disproportionately by having his MVP season in 2020, he was playing at a 7.8 fWAR pace, but only gets credit for 2.9. Matchup History. Coming off a .319 batting average, Fletcher doesnt seem so bold, but ATC is only projecting a .283 mark this year, and they are The fact that the Astros, who have for years stuck with him through his ups and downs, have moved on is probably the biggest indictment of where hes at right now. Strikeouts AL/MLB: Robbie Ray (TOR), 248 Ray is the third Blue Jays pitcher to claim an AL strikeout title, joining A.J. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. - Strikeouts Leader (1933-1934 & 1937) / Hall of Famer Lefty Gomez. Everything about Rockers track record suggests that he If it could be shown that a player really was likely one of the very best, based on how they played in the US compared to players only looking at the same ages, I think that should be a factor in HOF close calls. Im deeply sorry that he cracked 50% as a known fucking cheater, because his statistical case is so unambiguous from both a traditional and SABR perspective. The man is a bat-to-ball machine; he rarely strikes out and almost never whiffs. Throws: Unknown, School: Cedarville University (Cedarville, OH), More Caden McKinion Pages at Baseball Reference, Every Sports Reference Social Media Account, Site Last Updated: Saturday, March 4, 12:52AM. 1. As long as Im here, my general rule-of-thumb is that the only numbers that count outside of MLB come from Japan. His peak would have had to have been one of the best of all time to get him to even 50 WAR. He was absolutely amazing in Cuba and definitely deserves to be in the Cuban Baseball Hall of Fame. To sum it all up, Gurriels biggest weakness his lack of power became an even bigger problem last season. Again, to say theres no case at all or suggest that Abreu putting up 20 WAR through age 26 is ludicrous doesnt sit right with me. Savino threw just 10.2 innings as a freshman last season, and while he showed flashes of greatness in those innings, his place here is less about what hes proven at the college level already and more about his potential, which has also made him the top college arm in the 2022 draft class. Charleston RiverDogs (Rays A), 82-38, .683 3. I guess hes a Kluborg now. Or write about sports? If we have a good faith basis to believe that Yuli Gurriel and Jos Abreu didnt suddenly become awesome baseball players the minute they were able to play in the US, why should the performances that pre-date their debuts here be summarily ignored when bestowing baseballs highest honor? WebExplore Atlanta Braves stats and team leaders on FOXSports.com, including home runs, rbi, strikeouts and more. Maybe stop whining and start defending your asinine positions? And hes not alone. Honestly, this is good for you. His hard-hit rate dropped from 33% to 26%, and his average exit velocity was down by 1 MPH. [8] Farm system [ edit] [9] Notes [ edit] ^ Hank Sauer at Baseball-Reference ^ Manny Mota at Baseball-Reference ^ Hoyt Wilhelm at Baseball-Reference ^ Bill Sarni at Baseball-Reference ^ John Orsino at Baseball-Reference ^ Ray Katt at Baseball-Reference He could take a spot on the bench, displacing David Hensley, but Gurriel would likely prefer more guaranteed playing time and the Astros might prefer to see what Hensley has to offer. 2.78. As most of Pirate Nation is aware, the baseball program has been greatly affected by ALS as former head coach and ECU Hall of Fame member Keith LeClair was diagnosed with the It's an excellent strikeout pitch and batters hit just .213 against it. , though he did hit .308 with a double and 4 RBI over the tournament. Once heralded as a five-tool player, Gurriel was a shell of his former self. Im really talking about that that 26-30 run where he had a .250 ISO, racking up 8 more WAR in 80 fewer games than he had from 21-25. Ohtani would have won the AL MVP Award for a second straight year if it weren't for Aaron Judge's historic season, which was his best season as a pitcher. Its a relatively small sample, sure, but Lonsway led the country in strikeouts per nine innings last season by punching out 42 hitters in 18 innings of work. Gurriel really did have a 20 wRC+ on fly balls last season. The only way Abreus case even comes close to approaching McGriffs is if you really give him a ton of credit for what he did in Cuba, where he spent most of his ABs against non-MLB quality pitchers. His Hall over? Im not sure either Gurriel or Abreu have the career numbers to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, but lets make sure were considering all the times they played this grand game. If the Marlins are still calling, hed be wise to pick up the phone. Like we did last week with the home run race, here were taking stock of some of the top contenders to lead the nation in strikeouts in 2021. Yuli Gurriel has played professional baseball around the world, suiting up in Cuba and Japan before making his way to MLB. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors Lets not forget that as a DH playing for the White Sox, he only needs to reach 38.8 WAR to get into the Hall. Once out of pool play, the pitching it faces is expected to be much tougher, and their hitters ability to adjust to high-end pitchers will determine how far the team goes. I could also see him (with MLB time from 21-26) getting in on a Veterans Committee vote. His walk rate fell in response. The first is, Joining Lee in the heart of the lineup will be KT Wiz first baseman, Despite his strong performances in the KBO, there are some storylines worth following with Kang in the WBC. Choi led the KBO in average launch angle last season, checking in just under 22 degrees. Between the injuries Kang struggled to produce at the plate for the first time in his career, posting career lows in many categories in his statline. Context for Lesters opinion should include the fact that he kicks puppies and his own mother thinks he is a crushing disappointment. For example, his 2010-11 translated to .358/.468/.754. He was by no means a lock as a HOF case, but he made it in. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Use without license or authorization is expressly prohibited. His baserunning is similar, as he is a good baserunner due to his natural athleticism, but does not have elite speed or base stealing ability. Also available on the infield is Ji-hwan Oh, who has won the KBO Fielding Bible Award at shortstop in each of the last two seasons. & thats without doing something subjective like assuming his peak was ages 21-26. List of Major League Baseball career strikeouts by batters Prielipp never got his chance to prove himself against SEC competition, but if his debut is any indication, hell be able to hold his own. The other is that he was making strides as the 2020 season came to an end, with his best start being his last. For the 2010-11 season: ZIPS: .306/.433/.629; Davenport: .358/.468/.754. Pujols and Miggy are the only ones with more than Freemans 21.5 WAR (the 4th is Frank Thomas at 20.4 WAR, but hed have 30 if 1990-91 were included). He had 24 strikeouts in 20 innings last season, but with a good handle on three offerings, theres potential for that strikeout rate to skyrocket next season. Could see him getting the McGriff treatment, WAR be damned. Per the Miami Herald, the Marlins made an offer to Gurriel earlier this winter, but the veteran was hesitant to accept. Abreu also doesnt really stack up even just comparing him to other players after age 27. Osmond had an up-and-down abbreviated first season in Stillwater, but he has a couple of things going for him headed into next season. Someday, hell earn a plaque in the Astros Hall of Fame. He has always been able to make contact, evidenced by high batting averages and low strikeout rates, but he tapped into more power later in his career by increasing his launch angle. In 584 PA, he was worth -0.9 WAR, the lowest figure among qualified hitters. To see the league-average strikeout and walk rate for every year from 1901 to the present, check the FanGraphs leaderboards. He didnt quite match that in 2022 but still had solid numbers in those areas. Theres little doubt about his stuff, including a fastball that can work its way into the mid 90s, and the hit rate on the Cardinals developing dominant starting pitchers under Dan McDonnell is extremely good. copyright=new Date(); Joining Lee in the heart of the lineup will be KT Wiz first baseman Baek-ho Kang. His command will help his stuff play up, but with a fastball that can touch the mid 90s as its best and a good slider, the stuff is plenty good as it is. WebView MLB stats, leaders & player statistics. The core premise of Abreus HoF case is, as stated above: What if Abreu had a crazy peak from 21-27, and 6 of those years came while he couldnt play in the MLB.. Its messy to estimate what could have been, but just because answering a question is difficult doesnt mean we shouldnt try.. WebThe official 2023 Baseball cumulative statistics for Big 12 Conference. He rarely makes poor swing decisions (23.1% chase rate), and when he does unleash, Rutschman makes a College baseball fans are in for yet another fun weekend that includes a couple of high-profile tournaments and marquee rivalry series.
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